149 thoughts on “Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?”

  1. As always, perenially interested in Idaho, Wyoming, and Montana.  For some reason.

    I’ve heard Minnick has been fundraising quite well since getting into office (and I’ve heard that being described favorably compared to Lampson’s early haul).  Still, with an R+17 SPVI and R+20 CPVI, this is no easy district to hold.  Nevertheless, there might be a small amount of comfort in noticing that (1) Minnick won this seat in a presidential year, and (2) Sali is in the mix again.

    And who will run for WY-Gov?  Obviously, with Freudenthal term-limited, the Rs will be gunning for this.  Will Trauner run for gube?  And can Freudenthal return after a one-term hiatus as in some other states?

  2. Friday Senate Line: Gregg Adds to GOP Pain

    WaPo’s The Fix does his Senate line (the race most likely to switch parties)

    His new #1: NH, since it’s now an open seat

    His former #1 was FL which he dropped to #3. This is what he opines on Crist:

    We tend to believe that most of Crist’s decisions these days are guided by positioning for 2012 so if he and his team decide that the Senate is a better perch from which to run for president in three years time, he may well jump.

     

  3. nh-sen: hodes will walk away w this, the gop’s only hope was for gregg to stay in

    mo-sen: the carnahan name will keep out other big d’s (montee, skelton, clay) from primary-ing her and give her a clear ride to the nom. i dont see who the repubs got on their side to match her, either. hulshof got his ass kicked even in a state the mccain carried; i cant imagine that blunt, either of them, would get ne thing but demolished in a primary; luetkemeyer is too new; graves is too old; steelman has no chance

    fl-sen: im of the mind that crist is gonna jump in and i dont think we got ne one who can beat governor tanning bed. i say meek gets the nod but looses by 10-12

    oh-sen: i know people r screaming fisher and ryan but ive always been a jennifer brunner fan. she did a great job with calming everyone down pre 08

    pa-sen: im hoping for schwartz. murphy, tho i love him, is little to centrist for me. now that specter dosent got toomey commin at him from the right, i think hes gonna be the center guy again and in a pick between center and center, i think the keystone state will be of the devil they know state of mind. i can see schwartz gettin him with a left hook and bankin on a nice turnout

    md-sen: i still think mikulski is gonna retire, in which case id love to see a sen donna edwards, though shell prob have to fight through j. sarbanes to get it

    ny-sen-b: shell switch left (where i think her heart really has been all along) and avoid a primary challenge. she and schumer will be the ny senate delegation for a while

    nc-sen: i was originally pullin for heath shuler but after some of the quotes ive been reading, im backin off that. i think roy cooper will b our best bet, even if he isnt really my kinda dem

    la-sen: vitter will keep his seat, i think people r hyping the scandal up too much, this is louisiana were talkin bout here

    il-sen: burris will go down in the primary, i just dont know to whom

    ks-sen: please, please, please, PLEASE kathy sebelius run for senate. dont take a cabinet post, dont take the u-kansas possittion. we want u in the senate

    nv-sen: the gop’s got no one who isnt covered in scandal cept former gov guinn, who i dont see gettin in. reid wont be another daschle

  4. On Saturday, local Senator Kirsten Gillibrand will return to upstate New York to endorse congressional candidate Scott Murphy at the State Democratic Party headquarters in Albany. Committed to following in the footsteps of Senator Gillibrand, Scott Murphy will use his real world experience to help turn around our economy by creating and protecting jobs in the region, providing middle class tax relief and ensuring openness in government.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/

    And I’ll be meeting Congressman Kagen on Monday!  (I’ve seen him speak on two previous occasions, but no handshake dealie.)

  5. I’ve been fighting with technical demons for a few weeks now. In January, I was planning to launch a blog to cover MI-07 post-Walberg, especially since Mark Schauer’s going to have a target on his back for the next couple of cycles. Unfortunately, I’m learning just how much I’ve forgotten about computers, and my mucking about in PHP and Python is leading to some frustrating times. Why can’t I just be satisfied going back to Blogger?

    So, future 7th District Project is experiencing some delays.

    Besides that, I’m actually having fun watching the Evanston, IL mayoral race. It’s way off the radar of SSP, but I’ve been spending a lot of time in Evanston (I think there’s some major research university here or something…), and their mayoral race is a fun one to watch. It’s nonpartisan (and everyone’s probably a Democrat anyway), but it’s an interesting race– you’ve got the establishment candidate, the outsider (who’s trying to tap into the youth population), a little-known but fairly competent third candidate, and a fourth guy that’s representing the grumpy “Everything is fine, we don’t need any changes… Damn kids, get off of my lawn!” side.

    And yet, all four candidates have in some way tried to tap into Obama-mania. It’s interesting to watch, even if mayor of Evanston is a pretty powerless job.

  6. In the primary that is.

    Or Dodd can retire.

    I find no effort by the democrats to build on the wins they had in 2006/8. The senate appointments were very disappointing.

    “How are we going to retain NY20” – the first question Paterson should been asked .

  7. I’m voting along what my conscience dictates and the needs of the 2nd Congressional District dictate, even if I were to be the only member of the GOP to vote for the stimulus package. Even though it is going to be a humongous bill, even though we will be in debt for years, I believe that more likely than not, I will vote for it because the 2nd Congressional District needs a stimulus package… A lot of the provisions in the bill will be good for the district, because we need almost everything. You name it, we need it.

    Of coure, a day later he voted against the bill.  

    Link: http://www.economist.com/blogs

  8. The soap opera continues.  Man I hope this guy doesn’t run for re-election.  Even if Burris didn’t go along with this scheme it still looks shady since he was the eventual pick for Senate.

    http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITI

    Democratic former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich’s brother asked Roland Burris to contribute or help raise up to $10,000 in campaign cash before Burris was named a senator on December 30, according to a Burris spokesman.

    Also, in an affidavit written by Burris and obtained by CNN, Burris said Blagojevich’s brother Rob called him after the November elections to ask him to raise funds. The affidavit did not specify a dollar amount.

    Burris said he refused to contribute to Blagojevich or to assist in fund-raising for him.

    Blagojevich’s appointment of Burris was hotly disputed, as Blagojevich is facing corruption charges.

    Prosecutors accuse him of attempting to sell the Senate seat, vacated by President Barack Obama upon his election, to the highest bidder. He was ousted from office last month by Illinois lawmakers.

  9. I made a video, though my skills are very limited.

    The supposed invincibility of Mike Castle is over. Me and the rest of the gang at Delaware Liberal fully expect him to retire rather than face a competitive race against former Lt. Governor John Carney. This is a race that needs to be on everyone’s radar ASAP.

  10. LA-02: I was actually considering supporting Cao when I heard that he admitted New Orleans needed just about anything–and then he proved that his district (or, for that matter, his political career, since he could easily get a crapload of press coverage as the lone Republican favoring the stimulus bill) was a lower priority than his party.

    LA-Sen: Is anyone looking forward to Ms. Daniels “storming” the Republican primary?

  11. From Yahoo News! today?

    Apparently Jim Durkin, who got trounced by Dick Durbin in 2002 Senate race in Illinois, is attempting to get some sweet revenge by demanding Burris resign now. Looks like there’s another Illinois Republican with delusions of grandeur.

  12. I’ve heard that Coleman’s trying to get 4800 rejected ballots reconsidered (that hypocrite, suggesting first that they shouldn’t be), and that the court just threw out 1900 or so of them.

    Also, I heard that Franken gained another 24 or 25 votes.

    1. Only 5 state senators, though there are 17 state reps.  Not sure how powerful any are.  There is also State Auditor Tom Wagner but I know little to nothing about him.  I’m sure there are not shortages of wealthy businessmen, though–any DuPonts out there?

    1. He’d been expected to run for Governor, but he knew no one was going to beat Markell, so he went for the Lieutenant Gov. spot instead. That way, even though he lost, he could claim that it was all due to Markell and Obama’s coattails. I guarantee you we haven’t seen the last of Copeland, because he’s all they’ve got.

      Also, Delaware news bit – 2008 GOP Insurance Commissioner candidate John Brady (Sussex County Recorder of Deeds) has switched back to the Democrats (he was one initially). He was supremely more qualified for Insurance Commissioner than the Democrat who beat him, but he got clobbered due to coattails and the fact that the GOP brand is now worthless in this state. I’m not a fan on party switchers in general, but this is a guy who has reached out to engage the local liberal blogosphere, and always seemed completely out of place with the GOP anyway. I don’t know where in the ticket shuffle Brady will end up, but I expect him to run for a statewide downticket position in 2010.

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